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How Philosophy Holds a Contender Back

Over the last six seasons, the Buffalo Bills have been an AFC juggernaut and highly

picked Super Bowl favorite that has repeatedly come up short in heartbreaking fashion, most

notably against the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite their postseason results, it’s hard not to have them as

an elite contender. Their QB, Josh Allen, has consistently been one of the top superstars in the

league and just came off a 2024 MVP season, and is one of the biggest reasons for their success

today.

Recently, after once again coming up short in the playoffs against the Denver Broncos in an

OT loss, ownership responded by firing longtime head coach Sean McDermott while promoting

Brandon Beane. While McDermott’s terrible defensive playoff coaching is a valid reason for

why they’ve come up short, it ignores an underlying issue: their lack of a true franchise WR1

since Stefon Diggs’ departure. This hole in their roster makes Josh Allen’s play more impressive

, as he’s been elevating that roster for years.

Simply put, the value of a true receiving threat can’t be overlooked. The ability to stretch

the field, blow by defenders with ease, win on the outside against press coverage and contested

catches, and have another level of chemistry with the QB to connect on passes the defense can’t

handle. No matter how elite a quarterback is, they can’t compensate for an offense that’s missing

someone with these traits, and it’s the difference maker in clutch time situations. While receivers

can be very complementary to quarterback play and development, similar to how Stefon Diggs

was to Josh Allen’s early career, the shortcomings can be equally costly, and the Bills have

plenty of examples where receivers came up short. In the 2024 playoffs in the divisional round vs

the Chiefs, multiple receivers dropped crucial deep passes that changed the momentum of the

game, including the most infamous drop with 8:17 left, where Diggs couldn’t catch a 60-yard deep pass that went right through his hands. Diggs, whose production dropped off during the

back half of the season, finished with just 3 catches for 21 yards in that game. While Diggs was

instrumental in the Bills' success in prior years, his lack of production hurt the team in the second

half of that season, and Shakir, who isn’t a true WR1 option, outproduced him on a ⅓ of the

targets throughout the back half of the season. Additionally, in the 2025 postseason AFC

championship game vs the Chiefs, young tight end Dalton Kincaid couldn’t come down with a

difficult pass from Allen under pressure with the game on the line. Most recently, in 2026 against

the Broncos in the divisional round, the deep pass to Brandin Cooks in overtime was

controversially ruled an interception, allowing the Broncos to get the ball with full control to win

the game. Whether it was a catch or an interception, Cooks lost full control of the ball, and an elite

receiver in his prime would’ve been able to come down with a catch like that. Is it necessarily the receiver’s fault? No. Cooks was a receiver way past his prime, while Kincaid is a young tight

end with upside but has his inconsistencies. Diggs’ production in the 2023/24 season dropped

off. Since the Bengals week 9 matchup, he has only had 2 games with over 70 yards and was not the

dominant receiving threat in the postseason at all. The Bills lacked a true difference maker at

receiver in all 3 of these situations. In these outcomes, were there plenty of other mistakes that

you could blame the losses on? Absolutely. But each game had the common outcome of still

having a huge chance to win the game, and a wide receiver not being able to come down with the

crucial catch when it mattered the most. It’s incredibly hard to have a perfect game, even in the

playoffs, but as a team, you should always give yourself every possible advantage that can

increase your odds of winning, even if it’s ugly. In moments like these, an elite weapon isn’t a

luxury; it’s the difference between winning and going home.

And that’s my wider problem with the Bills, specifically their front office and Brandon

Beane, they’ve been treating the receiver position like a luxury. The overall philosophy is to

build everywhere else and rely on your superstar QB to compensate for the lack of talent on the

offensive side of the ball. While this approach is more than good enough for regular season

success, when it comes to facing the best, especially elite defenses, good enough simply isn’t

good enough. With that being said, Beane is not a terrible general manager at all. He has done a

nice job on the O-Line and made good decisions on who to extend vs cut.

The bigger issue is the team had multiple opportunities in the draft to get their receiver of

the future, showing it’s a roster construction issue rather than a player issue. Yes it’s easy in

hindsight to criticize a GM for passing up on one guy vs the other. After all, all player moves that

sports teams do when it comes to contracts, draft picks, etc.. are all investments that have some

risk of not working out. All GM’s make mistakes. However, when a GM repeatedly misses out

on opportunities to address the same issue that’s prevalent year after year, it becomes a pattern

over bad luck. In the 2025 draft, the Bills had the opportunity to draft Luther Burden, a highly

coveted prospect, without having to trade or anything. Instead, they drafted Maxwell Hairston.

Hairston isn’t a bad player at all; it’s the idea they ignored targeting a position of need, and a

potential WR1 right in front of them. If they focused on drafting an elite receiving threat, you

would avoid the idea of having to trade for one, like they did with Diggs, and most recently, DJ Moore.

Furthermore, it avoids that $30-40 million a year contract extension you would have to pay for at

least 3-4 years, which especially helps a team like the Bills, who have been near the cap limit in

recent years. They also showed their willingness to trade up in rounds, as they traded up in that round

2nd round to draft DT TJ Sanders, and in the 3rd to get edge rusher, Landon Jackson. In that 3rd

round, there were receiver prospects like Issac TeSlaa and Kyle Williams, they could’ve pursued

instead. Whether they seemed like raw prospects or not, the point is that the opportunity was there

multiple times. Additionally, in the 2024 draft, the team traded with the Chiefs and selected Keon

Coleman out of FSU. At that pick, they also had a choice with Adonai Mitchell from Texas, and

Ladd McConkey from Georgia. While Coleman was a receiver, he wasn’t great versus man coverage or playing on the outside. There’s nothing wrong with Coleman's style; it’s the fact

Beane insisted he was something Coleman wasn’t, a true X receiver who was versatile.

Meanwhile, he insisted the team didn’t need that type of player. Even back in the 2023 draft, they

passed on Michael Wilson out of Stanford in favor of a defensive player, and Puka Nacua, while

opting for receiver Justin Shorter instead. However, everyone passed on Puka, so that isn’t just a

decision you can solely blame on the Bills. These examples show that the Bills and Beene

deliberately chose to go in a different direction multiple times and avoided a major issue that’s

been plaguing the team. It reinforces the philosophy issue I brought up earlier, build everywhere

else, and rely on your superstar QB to compensate for the lack of receiving talent. You need talent

and scheme on both sides of the ball to win a Super Bowl, and because the Bills haven’t invested

in getting a young guy at a key position, they aren’t a true Super Bowl team unless this mindset

changes.

Finally addressing some recent news, the team traded for Bears wide receiver DJ Moore

to address this concern. There are arguments about his production slowing down the last two

seasons with Caleb, whether that system and bad o-line leaves room for debate. He’s also a

veteran, like the other wide receivers they’ve brought in as short-term fixes for the receiving

core, though he’s younger than many of those previous additions. It’s definitely a better effort

than the front office has made in the past at addressing the issue. While letting Sean McDermott

go shows the organization’s effort to make meaningful change in order to get over the hump,

Brandon Beene’s drafting and roster construction have been overlooked, and leaves a lot to be

desired. In his tenure, the team has only drafted 2 Pro Bowlers outside of their superstar QB,

running back James Cook, and tight end Dawson Knox. Ultimately, while these moves show a

more aggressive attempt to fix the offense and push the team forward, time will tell if these

moves will actually work out for them.

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